The Art of Uncertainty
Categories
0
The Art of Uncertainty
Free delivery
58.49 ₾89.99 ₾-35%
The Art of Uncertainty
ID: 9780241658628
Translated by Google
Year of publication: 2024
Number of pages: 512
ISBN: 9780241658628
Publisher: Penguin Random House
Imprint: Pelican
Cover: Hardrback
Format:193 x 224 mm
₾
58.49 ₾89.99 ₾-35%
Free deliveryIn 3 hours
Recommended with this item
Total Price (0)0.00 ₾
Annotation
From the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty
We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?
David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.
In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.
Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
David Spiegelhalter
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge. His bestselling book The Art of Statistics has been published in eleven languages. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017 – 2018) and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020.
Additional information
- The Author David Spiegelhalter
- Publisher Penguin Random House
- Imprint Pelican
- Language English
- Number Of Pages 512
- Format 193 x 224 მმ
- Cover Hardback
- Year Of Publication 2024
- Original Language English
- Direction Psychology, Philosophy, Sociology
Here's a simple guide on how to purchase our fantastic product:
- Select the product you want and click on the "Add to Cart" button. It will be like adding a treat to your shopping basket.
- Next, provide us with the address where you'd like your order to be delivered. We'll make sure it arrives at the right place, just for you.
- Now, it's time to choose a delivery time that suits your schedule. Pick a slot that works best for you, and we'll do our best to accommodate it.
- Lastly, select your preferred payment method. We accept card payments on our website, including popular options like Visa, Mastercard, American Express, ReBank Top Card, and even foreign cards. You have the flexibility to pay the total price upfront or divide your payment into smaller, more manageable chunks, based on your desired bank's conditions.
For businesses, payment is possible through both card and bank transfer, based on the invoice.
When you place your order, we want to make sure it reaches you in the most convenient way possible. Here's how it works:
Once you've completed your order, we'll send you all the important details via email to the address you provided during the order confirmation process. If you prefer, we can also send you a text message to your phone number. We've got you covered!
Our amazing courier team will swing into action and deliver your products right to your doorstep. If you placed your order before 21:30, you can expect same-day delivery within a maximum of 3 hours. Talk about speedy service!
If you made your purchase after 21:30, don't worry. We'll deliver your products the next day, at a time that suits your schedule. Your convenience is our priority!
Need to keep an eye on your delivery? No problem! You can easily track your courier's location in real-time as they bring your order to you. It's like having a personal GPS for your products.
For our valued customers in remote regions, please note that delivery may take slightly longer. Typically, orders placed from these areas are delivered within three to five business days. Your patience is greatly appreciated!
Copyright © 2024 Veli.store, all rights reserved.